Publication Detail

The Future of Motor Vehicles In OECD Countries


Presentation Series

Suggested Citation:
Sperling, Daniel (1992) The Future of Motor Vehicles In OECD Countries. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, Presentation Series UCD-ITS-RP-91-14

Presented at the International Conference, "The Motor Vehicle of Tomorrow and Environment Protection," Courmayeur, Italy, January 23 - 24, 1992

The USA has more than one vehicle per licensed driver, and other OECD countries are not far behind. Automobiles (light trucks) now account for about 75-85% of all passenger travel in all OECD countries except Japan. This is truly a huge success story for the automotive industry. But has the car by its very success created the conditions for its own downfall? I argue that the automotive industry is not prepared—neither in terms of its technology nor its corporate thinking—for the major changes that are imminent.