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Transportation in Developing Countries: Greenhouse Gas Scenarios for Chile


Journal Article

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Suggested Citation:
O'Ryan, Raúl, Daniel Sperling, Mark A. Delucchi, Thomas S. Turrentine (2002) Transportation in Developing Countries: Greenhouse Gas Scenarios for Chile. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, Journal Article UCD-ITS-RP-02-24

This report addresses changes in transportation, energy use, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and other environmental impacts resulting from economic growth and transportation choices. It includes interurban transportation and the urban system in the capital city, Santiago. Chile is an especially interesting case study because of its enthusiastic embrace of market competition in all aspects of transportation. In particular, it has developed a franchising system by which the private sector has been encouraged to finance infrastructure development. However, during this period of economic transformation and growth, Chile has not addressed many environmental problems, including GHG emissions. The expected increase in emissions in the next twenty years is significant, and any reductions would result from indirect efforts intended to address other urban, environmental, and congestion problems.

This report develops high ("business-as-usual") and low emission scenarios for GHGs for the next two decades. The scenarios are based upon interviews with experts and policymakers, and extensive analysis of transportation and energy data gathered from a wide range of Chilean sources. Both scenarios are premised on strong continued economic growth (5.8 percent annual GDP growth).
Published by the Pew Center on Global Climate Change. (All Pew Center reports are available for download from