Publication Detail
Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion
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UCD-ITS-RR-05-27 Research Report Hydrogen Pathways Program Download PDF |
Suggested Citation:
Collantes, Gustavo O. (2005) Foreseeing the Market for Hydrogen Fuel-Cell Vehicles: Stakeholders' Perspectives and Models of New Technology Diffusion. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, Research Report UCD-ITS-RR-05-27
In this paper we incorporate the expert opinions of key stakeholders in the estimation of the parameters characterizing the diffusion of a new technology. We focus on the case of fuel-cell vehicles, looking at the market-share dynamics in the presence of competing vehicle technologies. We build upon previous work on the diffusion of innovations and use data obtained from a survey of stakeholders of the hydrogen policy process.