Handy, Susan L. and Patricia L. Mokhtarian (1993) Technical Memo 3: Base Case Estimates and Forecasts of Telecommuting in California. Institute of Transportation Studies, University of California, Davis, Research Report UCD-ITS-RR-93-16
The ability to generate these forecasts is limited by available data and knowledge, however. Since the collection of data on telecommuting is a relatively new effort, there exists very little time series data which might provide an understanding of telecommuting trends. Data on characteristics of telecommuters versus characteristics of non-telecommuters are also inadequate. In addition, the level of understanding about why people do or do not choose to telecommute is still limited. As a result, this memo presents tentative forecasts of telecommuting in California, suggesting a probable range of future telecommuting levels and impacts. Additional research is needed to provide a clearer picture of the future of telecommuting in the State.